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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Tondela — AVS

Predictions Tondela vs AVS March 21, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Tondela
Tondela
Home · last 5 L D W W L
Kick-off
Sat 21 Mar · 20:30
0:0
Full-time
AVS
AVS
D D W W D Away · last 5
Estádio João Cardoso · Tondela Referee Miguel Nogueira, Portugal
Home Win · TON
58%
Best 1.83
Draw
25%
Best 3.35
Away Win · AVS
17%
Best 4.50
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 9.00
Fair odds
7.99
book 9.00 · +12.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 13% · EV +12.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (87%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 58.1%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 25.2%
Odds 3.58
Show model details
Implied probability 27.9%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 16.8%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 62.2%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 37.8%
Odds 2.13
Show model details
Implied probability 47%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 36.4%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 80.9%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 12.5%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87.5%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 63.7%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 19.1%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 57.9%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality High
BTTS Yes
Probability 42.1%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 58.1%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 16.8%
Odds 3.14
Show model details
Implied probability 31.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 41.9%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 83.3%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
TON – AVS @ 9.00
+12.7%
Edge
Forecast →