Match FC Porto vs Moreirense March 15, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 7.39 — +10.0% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Draw

Draw @ 7.39 ✗ Lost

AI 15% Implied 14% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

POR 4-3-3 · MOR 4-2-3-1

POR · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · MOR

77 Pietuszewski ⚽

Subs used · POR

56'

Moffi ↑ ·

Gul ↓

56'

Sainz ↑ ·

Pietuszewski ↓

66'

Rosario ↑ ·

Zaidu ↓

66'

Mora ↑ ·

Veiga ↓

72'

Gomes ↑ ·

Pepê ↓

Subs used · MOR

66'

Gower ↑ ·

Assis ↓

73'

John ↑ ·

Landerson ↓

87'

Monteiro ↑ ·

Bondoso ↓

87'

A. Silva ↑ ·

Rodri ↓

📊 Statistics

POR 3 – 0 MOR

57%

Possession (%)

43%

2.13

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.14

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

14 · 3 – 0

G. Veiga

1–0

⚽

14'

O. Pietuszewski

Assist · V. Froholdt · 2–0

⚽

25'

Half-time · 2 – 0

T. Moffi ↓ · D. Gul ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

56'

B. Sainz ↓ · O. Pietuszewski ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

56'

Zaidu Sanusi

Yellow Card

▮

58'

P. Rosario ↓ · Zaidu ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

66'

R. Mora ↓ · G. Veiga ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

66'

⇄

J. Gower ↓ · A. Assis ↑

Substitution 1

William Gomes ↓ · Pepê ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

72'

73'

⇄

N. John ↓ · Landerson ↑

Substitution 2

William Gomes

Assist · V. Froholdt · 3–0

⚽

81'

87'

⇄

Kevyn Monteiro ↓ · Kiko Bondoso ↑

Substitution 3

87'

⇄

M. A. Silva ↓ · Rodri ↑

Substitution 4

90+4'

▮

Miguel Silva

Yellow Card

Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

FC Porto beat Moreirense 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.13 to 0.14. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 3, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 4 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

On the scoresheet: G. Veiga (14'), O. Pietuszewski (25'), William Gomes (81').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.68 units (Brier 0.072).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.82	—	55%	Cashed	+0.82	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.10	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.95	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	7.39	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.00	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.03	—	97%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Home Win	1.20	—	82%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.42	—	67%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
BTTS No	1.50	—	57%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.03	—	82%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.27	—	78%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	94%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Double Chance X2	5.30	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.20	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	21.00	—	3%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	13.50	—	3%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−6.68u	−39% ROI