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Home Portugal Primeira Liga AVS — Estoril

Predictions AVS vs Estoril February 15, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
AVS
AVS
Home · last 5 D D W W D
Kick-off
Sun 15 Feb · 18:00
3:0
Full-time
Estoril
Estoril
L L D D L Away · last 5
Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves · Vila das Aves Referee Luís Godinho, Portugal
Home Win · AVS
17%
Best 4.20
Draw
24%
Best 3.85
Away Win · EST
60%
Best 1.75
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.33
Fair odds
3.80
book 4.33 · +13.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 26% · EV +13.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (74%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 59.8%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 23.7%
Odds 3.86
Show model details
Implied probability 25.9%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 16.6%
Odds 4.34
Show model details
Implied probability 23%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 51.2%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 48.8%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 72.6%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 26.3%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 27.4%
Odds 3.05
Show model details
Implied probability 32.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.1%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.9%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 73.7%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 49.6%
Odds 2.19
Show model details
Implied probability 45.7%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.5%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 59.8%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 16.6%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 40.2%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 83.4%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
AVS – EST @ 4.33
+13.9%
Edge
Forecast →