Match Moreirense vs Santa Clara January 24, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.45 — +7.0% better than the market.

Primeira Liga Preview: Moreirense vs Santa Clara

Moreirense holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a solid home defensive setup, which should help contain Santa Clara’s modest attack. Recent form favors Moreirense, who have shown resilience and home momentum, while Santa Clara struggles for consistency on the road. The match hints at a controlled tempo with limited goal-scoring chances, favoring a tight contest.

Moreirense’s defensive discipline vs Santa Clara’s lower offensive threat
Home momentum and better recent form
Likely cautious pace with under 2.5 goals probable

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 1.45 ✓ Cashed

AI 74% Implied 69% +0.45u

+45%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MOR 4-2-3-1 · SAN 3-4-1-2

MOR · 4-2-3-1 3-4-1-2 · SAN

9 Semedo

Subs used · MOR

63'

Landerson ↑ ·

Bondoso ↓

63'

Maranhao ↑ ·

Semedo ↓

83'

Bernardo ↑ ·

Rodri ↓

83'

Kiko ↑ ·

Martinez ↓

90+2'

Gower ↑ ·

Alanzinho ↓

Subs used · SAN

73'

Brenner ↑ ·

Serginho ↓

73'

Torrao ↑ ·

Lopes ↓

83'

Tavares ↑ ·

Klismahn ↓

📊 Statistics

MOR 1 – 0 SAN

49%

Possession (%)

51%

0.15

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.21

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

⏱ Match events

13 · 1 – 0

Mateja Stjepanović

Yellow Card

▮

18'

Maracás

Yellow Card

▮

34'

Half-time · 0 – 0

Landerson ↓ · Kiko Bondoso ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

63'

Yan Maranhao ↓ · L. Semedo ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

63'

68'

▮

Vinícius Lopes

Yellow Card

73'

⇄

Brenner ↓ · Serginho ↑

Substitution 1

73'

⇄

Welinton Torrao ↓ · Vinicius Lopes ↑

Substitution 2

Bernardo ↓ · Rodri ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

83'

Kiko ↓ · A. Martinez ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

83'

⇄

J. Tavares ↓ · Gustavo Klismahn ↑

Substitution 3

Maracas

Assist · Travassos · 1–0

⚽

87'

90'

▮

Luís Rocha

Yellow Card

J. Gower ↓ · Alanzinho ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90+2'

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Moreirense beat Santa Clara 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 8 shots to 3, 0 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Maracas (87').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.89 units (Brier 0.154).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.67	—	59%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Under 1.5	2.45	—	40%	Cashed	+1.45	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.62	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.28	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.93	—	44%	Cashed	+0.93	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.98	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.84	—	44%	Cashed	+1.84	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.45	—	74%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.47	—	66%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.84	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.00	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.47	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.92	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.16	—	84%	Cashed	+0.16	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.14	—	86%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Over 3.5	6.00	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	6.50	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.89u	−17% ROI