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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Famalicao — Estrela

Predictions Famalicao vs Estrela December 27, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Famalicao
Famalicao
Home · last 5 D W D D W
Kick-off
Sat 27 Dec · 18:00
2:3
Full-time
Estrela
Estrela
L L L D D Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho · Vila Nova de Famalicão Referee Luís Godinho, Portugal
Home Win · FAM
66%
Best 1.50
Draw
23%
Best 4.08
Away Win · EST
12%
Best 6.28
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.50
Fair odds
3.08
book 3.50 · +13.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 32% · EV +13.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (68%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 65.7%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 22.6%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 11.6%
Odds 6.20
Show model details
Implied probability 16.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 57.6%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 42.4%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 32.5%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 77.8%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 10.2%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.8%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 67.5%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 22.2%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 56.8%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 43.3%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 65.7%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 11.6%
Odds 4.47
Show model details
Implied probability 22.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 34.3%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 88.4%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
FAM – EST @ 3.50
+13.6%
Edge
Forecast →