Match Famalicao vs SC Braga December 6, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.36 — +6.9% better than the market.

SC Braga enters this clash with a clear quality edge and a stronger offensive profile, likely to challenge Famalicao’s compact defensive setup. Despite Famalicao’s decent recent form and home momentum, Braga’s sharper attack against a less resilient defense suggests they can control the game tempo. Expect a tactical battle where Braga’s pressing and creativity might unlock chances, while Famalicao will rely on set-pieces and counterattacks.

Braga’s offensive edge vs Famalicao’s defense
Home side’s recent solid form and resilience
Moderate pace hinted by balanced goal expectations

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.36 ✓ Cashed

AI 79% Implied 74% +0.36u

+36%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

FAM 4-2-3-1 · BRA 3-4-3

FAM · 4-2-3-1 3-4-3 · BRA

21 Zabiri ⚽

Subs used · FAM

66'

Santos ↑ ·

Sa ↓

81'

Elisor ↑ ·

Bondo ↓

81'

Joujou ↑ ·

Sorriso ↓

Subs used · BRA

54'

Zalazar ↑ ·

Moutinho ↓

55'

Grillitsch ↑ ·

Navarro ↓

75'

Lelo ↑ ·

Martinez ↓

87'

El Ouazzani ↑ ·

Victor ↓

87'

Rodrigues ↑ ·

Horta ↓

📊 Statistics

FAM 1 – 2 BRA

43%

Possession (%)

57%

1.50

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.78

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 1 – 2

24'

⚽

R. Pinheiro

Own goal · 0–1

Sorriso

Yellow Card

▮

33'

39'

▮

Pau Víctor

Yellow Card

Y. Zabiri

Assist · Sorriso · 1–1

⚽

41'

45+2'

▮

Ricardo Horta

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 1

48'

▮

João Moutinho

Yellow Card

54'

⇄

R. Zalazar ↓ · J. Moutinho ↑

Substitution 1

55'

⇄

F. Grillitsch ↓ · F. Navarro ↑

Substitution 2

P. Santos ↓ · G. Sa ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

66'

72'

⚽

P. Victor

Assist · V. Gomez · 1–2

75'

⇄

L. Lelo ↓ · G. Martinez ↑

Substitution 3

S. Elisor ↓ · Pedro Bondo ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

81'

A. Joujou ↓ · Sorriso ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

81'

87'

⇄

A. El Ouazzani ↓ · P. Victor ↑

Substitution 4

87'

⇄

D. Rodrigues ↓ · R. Horta ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

SC Braga won 2–1 away at Famalicao. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.78 to 1.50. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 7, 6 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 3. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: R. Pinheiro (24'), Y. Zabiri (41'), P. Victor (72').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.23 units (Brier 0.128).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.22	—	53%	Cashed	+1.22	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.06	—	49%	Cashed	+1.06	Cashed
BTTS No	2.01	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.85	—	52%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.84	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.75	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.51	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.36	—	79%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.55	—	53%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.35	—	73%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	—	92%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.52	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.31	—	72%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Draw	3.60	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.40	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	10.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.45	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.23u	−25% ROI