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Home England Premier League Sunderland — Liverpool

Predictions Sunderland vs Liverpool February 11, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Sunderland
Sunderland
Home · last 5 L D D W W
Kick-off
Wed 11 Feb · 20:15
0:1
Full-time
Liverpool
Liverpool
W L D L D Away · last 5
Stadium of Light · Sunderland Referee Chris Kavanagh, England
Home Win · SUN
14%
Best 4.60
Draw
22%
Best 3.85
Away Win · LIV
64%
Best 1.75
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.00
Fair odds
3.55
book 4.00 · +12.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 28% · EV +12.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (72%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 63.9%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 22.2%
Odds 4.26
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 13.9%
Odds 5.25
Show model details
Implied probability 19.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 53%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 47%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 73.7%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 28.1%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 26.4%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.4%
Odds 13.30
Show model details
Implied probability 7.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.6%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 71.9%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 51.2%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 48.8%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 63.9%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 13.9%
Odds 3.93
Show model details
Implied probability 25.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 36.1%
Odds 2.34
Show model details
Implied probability 42.7%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 86.1%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
SUN – LIV @ 4.00
+12.6%
Edge
Forecast →