Match Sunderland vs Liverpool February 11, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 4.00 — +12.6% better than the market.

Liverpool arrive at the Stadium of Light with a clear quality edge and a strong away offensive threat against Sunderland's vulnerable defense. Despite Sunderland's better recent form, Liverpool's pressing and tactical discipline should challenge the home side's compact block. Expect a controlled pace with Liverpool likely to capitalize on set-piece opportunities and maintain pressure.

Liverpool's superior attacking firepower vs Sunderland's defensive struggles
Home momentum for Sunderland but limited by tactical mismatch
Moderate tempo suggests a balanced but Liverpool-favored contest

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 4.00 ✓ Cashed

AI 28% Implied 25% +3.00u

+300%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SUN 4-2-3-1 · LIV 4-2-3-1

SUN · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · LIV

9 Brobbey

Subs used · SUN

80'

Mundle ↑ ·

Angulo ↓

80'

Talbi ↑ ·

Hume ↓

80'

Geertruida ↑ ·

Alderete ↓

90+2'

Isidor ↑ ·

Diarra ↓

Subs used · LIV

69'

Gomez ↑ ·

Endo ↓

75'

Jones ↑ ·

Gakpo ↓

88'

Chiesa ↑ ·

Ekitike ↓

📊 Statistics

SUN 0 – 1 LIV

44%

Possession (%)

56%

0.66

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.95

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

9 · 0 – 1

Reinildo Mandava

Yellow Card

▮

24'

Half-time · 0 – 0

61'

⚽

V. van Dijk

Assist · M. Salah · 0–1

69'

⇄

J. Gomez ↓ · W. Endo ↑

Substitution 1

75'

⇄

C. Jones ↓ · C. Gakpo ↑

Substitution 2

R. Mundle ↓ · N. Angulo ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

80'

C. Talbi ↓ · T. Hume ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

80'

L. Geertruida ↓ · O. Alderete ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

80'

88'

⇄

F. Chiesa ↓ · H. Ekitike ↑

Substitution 3

W. Isidor ↓ · H. Diarra ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90+2'

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Liverpool won 1–0 away at Sunderland. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.95 to 0.66. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 11, 3 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 11 to 3.

On the scoresheet: V. van Dijk (61').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.22 units (Brier 0.153).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.70	—	64%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.10	—	53%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
BTTS No	2.05	—	51%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.81	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.86	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.34	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.42	—	74%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.00	—	28%	Cashed	+3.00	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.20	—	86%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.26	—	64%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.00	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.30	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	92%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	4.26	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.26	—	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	5.25	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.93	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.22u	−13% ROI