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Home World UEFA Champions League Napoli — Chelsea

Predictions Napoli vs Chelsea January 28, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Napoli
Napoli
Home · last 5 D W L D L
Kick-off
Wed 28 Jan · 20:00
2:3
Full-time
Chelsea
Chelsea
L W W L L Away · last 5
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona · Napoli Referee Clement Turpin, France
Home Win · NAP
34%
Best 3.60
Draw
30%
Best 3.50
Away Win · CHE
36%
Best 2.05
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.20
Fair odds
2.04
book 2.20 · +8.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 49% · EV +8.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (51%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 30%
Odds 3.56
Show model details
Implied probability 28.1%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 36%
Odds 2.68
Show model details
Implied probability 37.3%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 34%
Odds 2.76
Show model details
Implied probability 36.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 5 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 50%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Medium
Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 93%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality High
Over 1.5
Probability 74%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 50%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 49%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 36%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 34%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 66%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 64%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
NAP – CHE @ 2.20
+8.0%
Edge
Forecast →