Match Paris Saint Germain vs Newcastle January 28, 2026 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Wed 28 Jan · 20:00
1:1
Full-time
Parc des Princes · Paris
Referee Slavko Vinčić, Slovenia
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 66% · book 1.53
✗
Hit
Draw
Draw
AI 21% · book 4.93
✓
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 64% · book 1.59
✗
xG (open play)
2.58 – 1.00
Δ +1.58
AI accuracy
8 / 14
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
Paris Saint Germain should have the edge at Parc des Princes through stronger control of territory and cleaner chance creation, but Newcastle arrive in excellent rhythm and won’t be easy to put away. Expect PSG to dictate long spells, while Newcastle look to stay compact, break quickly and make the big moments count. Goals are on the table, yet there’s also a realistic chance the visitors keep it competitive for long stretches if they manage transitions and set-piece phases well.
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Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
⛀ Lineups
PSG 4-3-3 · NEW 3-4-2-1
📊 Statistics
PSG 1
– 1 NEW
2.58
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.00
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
Match recap
Paris Saint Germain and Newcastle drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–1.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 90% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.58 to 1.00. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 25 shots to 10, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.
Model audit for this match: of 14 graded markets, 8 landed and 6 missed, for a net +2.97 units (Brier 0.252).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
14 · 8 W · 6 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.53 |
— |
66% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
4.93 |
— |
21% |
Cashed |
+3.93 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
1.59 |
— |
64% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.30 |
— |
44% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.36 |
— |
43% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.18 |
— |
85% |
Cashed |
+0.18 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.03 |
— |
96% |
Cashed |
+0.03 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.17 |
— |
85% |
Cashed |
+0.17 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
2.70 |
— |
37% |
Cashed |
+1.70 |
Cashed
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.69 |
— |
57% |
Cashed |
+0.69 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.67 |
— |
56% |
Cashed |
+0.67 |
Cashed
|
| Away Win |
6.00 |
— |
16% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.60 |
— |
34% |
Cashed |
+1.60 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.22 |
— |
64% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 14 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 6 L |
+2.97u |
+21% ROI |
