Match Juventus vs Benfica January 21, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.89 — +2.1% better than the market.

Juventus should keep this structured at home, but Benfica arrive with stronger momentum and look more comfortable playing through pressure and striking on the break. Expect a competitive, tactical match where Benfica have slightly clearer routes to avoid defeat, while Juventus will rely on game management and set-piece moments. Goals are likely, but the overall feel is more controlled than chaotic.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.89 ✓ Cashed

AI 54% Implied 53% +0.89u

+89%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

JUV 4-2-3-1 · BEN 4-2-3-1

JUV · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · BEN

30 David

📊 Statistics

JUV 2 – 0 BEN

46%

Possession (%)

54%

1.36

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.38

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Juventus beat Benfica 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 12, 3 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 4.

Model audit for this match: of 16 graded markets, 7 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.33 units (Brier 0.165).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

16 · 7 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	2.05	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.74	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.75	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.87	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.95	—	48%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	—	92%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.50	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.34	—	72%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.55	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.87	—	35%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.89	—	54%	Cashed	+0.89	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.60	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.32	—	76%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.23	—	61%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.05	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.32	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 16 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 9 L	−5.33u	−33% ROI