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Home World UEFA Champions League Real Madrid — Monaco

Predictions Real Madrid vs Monaco January 20, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Home · last 5 W W W L L
Kick-off
Tue 20 Jan · 20:00
6:1
Full-time
Monaco
Monaco
W L D L D Away · last 5
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu · Madrid Referee Espen Eskas, Norway
Home Win · REA
71%
Best 1.32
Draw
19%
Best 5.90
Away Win · MON
10%
Best 8.50
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.20
Fair odds
2.08
book 2.20 · +10.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 48% · EV +10.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (52%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 19%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 10%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
Home Win Top pick
Probability 71%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality High
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 51%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 14%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 49%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 96.5%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 30%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 86%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality High
Under 0.5
Probability 3.5%
Odds 27.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 70%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 48%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 52%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 71%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality High
AH Away 0
Probability 10%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 29%
Odds 3.92
Show model details
Implied probability 25.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 90%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
REA – MON @ 2.20
+10.0%
Edge
Forecast →