Match Atletico Madrid vs Inter November 26, 2025 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Wed 26 Nov · 20:00
2:1
Full-time
Inter
L
L
W
L
L
Away · last 5
Referee François Letexier, France
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 40% · book 3.20
✗
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 28% · book 4.01
✗
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 67% · book 1.67
✗
xG (open play)
0.99 – 1.36
Δ −0.37
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Under 1.5 at 4.01 — +12.3% better than the market.
Atletico Madrid and Inter meet in a high-level European clash where the Italian side look slightly stronger overall, but the Spanish hosts still enjoy a solid home advantage. My predictions expect an intense, tactically balanced game with good chances at both ends and a small edge to Inter over ninety minutes.
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Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5
Under 1.5 @ 4.01
✗ Lost
AI 28%
Implied 25%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
ATM 4-1-4-1 · INT 3-5-2
📊 Statistics
ATM 2
– 1 INT
0.99
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.36
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
Match recap
Atletico Madrid beat Inter 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.15 units (Brier 0.175).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Away Win |
3.20 |
— |
40% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 1.5 |
4.01 |
— |
28% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.67 |
— |
67% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.89 |
— |
55% |
Cashed |
+0.89 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
3.25 |
— |
32% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.67 |
— |
61% |
Cashed |
+0.67 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.06 |
— |
93% |
Cashed |
+0.06 |
Cashed
|
| Draw |
3.60 |
— |
27% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.42 |
— |
68% |
Cashed |
+0.42 |
Cashed
|
| AH Away 0 |
2.31 |
— |
40% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.28 |
— |
72% |
Cashed |
+0.28 |
Cashed
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.05 |
— |
45% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 0.5 |
13.00 |
— |
7% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.27 |
— |
39% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.41 |
— |
60% |
Cashed |
+0.41 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
2.39 |
— |
33% |
Cashed |
+1.39 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.73 |
— |
33% |
Cashed |
+0.73 |
Cashed
|
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 9 L |
−4.15u |
−24% ROI |