Match Sporting CP vs Club Brugge KV November 26, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 4.90 — +3.0% better than the market.

Sporting CP host Club Brugge in Lisbon in a high-tempo European clash where the Portuguese champions look stronger overall, especially at home. Sporting regularly control games domestically, create plenty of chances and rarely concede many, while Club Brugge arrive with a dangerous but sometimes vulnerable style that can leave gaps at the back. Our football prediction leans towards a Sporting win in a match with several goals and a good chance that both teams get on the scoresheet. From a betting tips perspective, the safest angles are on Sporting in the draw-no-bet market and goal-based options such as over 1.5 or over 2.5 goals, while the big-price away win and double-chance X2 appeal only to more aggressive bettors who like backing high odds with modest probabilities.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 4.90 ✗ Lost

AI 21% Implied 20% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SPO 4-2-3-1 · CLU 4-2-3-1

SPO · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · CLU

97 Suárez

📊 Statistics

SPO 3 – 0 CLU

45%

Possession (%)

55%

1.75

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.83

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Sporting CP beat Club Brugge KV 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.75 to 0.83. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 9, 9 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.78 units (Brier 0.127).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	1.60	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.27	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.90	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.65	—	61%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.72	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.35	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.50	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	95%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Home Win	1.75	—	56%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.51	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.19	—	82%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.22	—	79%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.57	—	61%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.45	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.30	—	73%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
BTTS No	2.50	—	37%	Cashed	+1.50	Cashed
Under 0.5	17.50	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.78u	−28% ROI

Match Sporting CP vs Club Brugge KV November 26, 2025 — Result and Stats

AI picks Away Win at 4.90 — +3.0% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled