Match Eintracht Frankfurt vs Atalanta November 26, 2025 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Wed 26 Nov · 20:00
0:3
Full-time
Deutsche Bank Park · Frankfurt am Main
Referee Chris Kavanagh, England
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 43% · book 2.73
✗
Miss
Under 0.5
Under 0.5
AI 8% · book 17.00
✗
Miss
AH Home 0
AH Home 0
AI 59% · book 2.00
✗
xG (open play)
1.06 – 3.10
Δ −2.04
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Under 1.5 at 5.00 — +10.0% better than the market.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Atalanta prediction: we expect a high-intensity, end-to-end European clash with Frankfurt slightly more likely to win at home, but Atalanta always dangerous in transition. Our model projects around 2–3 goals, both teams creating chances, and the best angles coming from alternative handicaps and conservative unders rather than a pure match-winner bet.
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Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5
Under 1.5 @ 5.00
✗ Lost
AI 22%
Implied 20%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
EIN 3-4-2-1 · ATA 3-4-2-1
📊 Statistics
EIN 0
– 3 ATA
1.06
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
3.10
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
Match recap
Atalanta won 3–0 away at Eintracht Frankfurt. At half-time it was 0–0.
On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 3.10 to 1.06. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 9, 7 on target.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.75 units (Brier 0.207).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Home Win |
2.73 |
— |
43% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 0.5 |
17.00 |
— |
8% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
2.00 |
— |
59% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 1.5 |
5.00 |
— |
22% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.55 |
— |
70% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.64 |
— |
40% |
Cashed |
+1.64 |
Cashed
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.57 |
— |
67% |
Cashed |
+0.57 |
Cashed
|
| Draw |
3.71 |
— |
27% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.38 |
— |
42% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.70 |
— |
58% |
Cashed |
+0.70 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.04 |
— |
92% |
Cashed |
+0.04 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.20 |
— |
78% |
Cashed |
+0.20 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.55 |
— |
60% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.70 |
— |
33% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.53 |
— |
57% |
Cashed |
+0.53 |
Cashed
|
| AH Away 0 |
1.94 |
— |
41% |
Cashed |
+0.94 |
Cashed
|
| Away Win |
2.63 |
— |
30% |
Cashed |
+1.63 |
Cashed
|
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 9 L |
−2.75u |
−16% ROI |
