Match Paris Saint Germain vs Tottenham November 26, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 5.20 — +13.7% better than the market.

Paris Saint Germain welcome Tottenham to Parc des Princes in a clash where the hosts are expected to control possession and create more chances, while Spurs threaten on counters and set pieces. The underlying numbers point toward a home-favoured game with a strong likelihood of goals, but market prices make some conservative unders and outsider angles around Tottenham more interesting from a value perspective. Overall, the model leans PSG to win, yet sees room for tighter scorelines than the odds suggest, especially in low-scoring and draw or away-positive scenarios.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Draw

Draw @ 5.20 ✗ Lost

AI 22% Implied 19% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PSG 4-3-3 · TOT 4-2-2-2

PSG · 4-3-3 4-2-2-2 · TOT

29 Barcola

📊 Statistics

PSG 5 – 3 TOT

67%

Possession (%)

33%

1.76

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.06

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

72%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Paris Saint Germain beat Tottenham 5–3 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 11, 6 on target. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 5 from 1.76 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.43 units (Brier 0.153).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.69	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	6.00	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	8.00	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.63	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	3.05	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	5.20	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	18.50	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	6.25	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.18	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	94%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.12	—	83%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.18	—	77%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Home Win	1.46	—	61%	Cashed	+0.46	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.74	—	51%	Cashed	+0.74	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.55	—	53%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.36	—	31%	Cashed	+1.36	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.12	—	61%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.43u	−32% ROI

Match Paris Saint Germain vs Tottenham November 26, 2025 — Result and Stats

AI picks Draw at 5.20 — +13.7% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled