Match Liverpool vs PSV Eindhoven November 26, 2025 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Wed 26 Nov · 20:00
1:4
Full-time
Anfield · Liverpool
Referee Alejandro Hernandez, Spain
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 64% · book 1.65
✓
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 20% · book 9.30
✓
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 40% · book 3.75
✓
xG (open play)
2.66 – 2.21
Δ +0.45
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.65 — +5.6% better than the market.
Liverpool host PSV Eindhoven at Anfield in a clash of two very aggressive attacking sides. Liverpool are clear favourites at home, but PSV come in on excellent form and are dangerous in transition, so the data leans toward a high–tempo game with plenty of chances and reliable goal markets.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes @ 1.65
✓ Cashed
AI 64%
Implied 61%
+0.65u
⛀ Lineups
LIV 4-2-3-1 · PSV 4-4-2
📊 Statistics
LIV 1
– 4 PSV
2.66
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
2.21
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
Match recap
PSV Eindhoven won 4–1 away at Liverpool. At half-time it was 1–1.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 27 shots to 9, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 11 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 4 from 2.21 expected goals.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +9.13 units (Brier 0.240).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.65 |
— |
64% |
Cashed |
+0.65 |
Cashed
|
| Away Win |
9.30 |
— |
20% |
Cashed |
+8.30 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
3.75 |
— |
40% |
Cashed |
+2.75 |
Cashed
|
| Draw |
6.18 |
— |
20% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away 0 |
6.00 |
— |
20% |
Cashed |
+5.00 |
Cashed
|
| Under 3.5 |
2.03 |
— |
52% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
3.40 |
— |
30% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.11 |
— |
90% |
Cashed |
+0.11 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.02 |
— |
97% |
Cashed |
+0.02 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.36 |
— |
70% |
Cashed |
+0.36 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
1.94 |
— |
48% |
Cashed |
+0.94 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.10 |
— |
82% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.45 |
— |
36% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 0.5 |
28.00 |
— |
3% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Home Win |
1.35 |
— |
60% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 1.5 |
8.00 |
— |
10% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.12 |
— |
60% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 9 L |
+9.13u |
+54% ROI |
