Match Benfica vs Bayer Leverkusen November 5, 2025 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Wed 05 Nov · 20:00
0:1
Full-time
Referee Simone Sozza, Italy
Hit
AH Away 0
AH Away 0
AI 41% · book 2.63
✓
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 30% · book 3.57
✓
Miss
Draw
Draw
AI 27% · book 3.86
✗
xG (open play)
1.42 – 0.74
Δ +0.68
AI accuracy
8 / 20
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks AH Away 0 at 2.63 — +10.0% better than the market.
Balanced duel with contrasting styles: Benfica’s compact shape and ball security meet Leverkusen’s sharper recent form and transition threat. Expect a measured tempo, few clear chances early, and the visitors avoiding a heavy defeat more often than not. The safest angles cluster around X2 and generous Asian head-starts; deep unders are only speculative.
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Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · AH Away 0
AH Away 0 @ 2.63
✓ Cashed
AI 41%
Implied 38%
+1.63u
⛀ Lineups
BEN 4-2-3-1 · BAY 3-4-2-1
📊 Statistics
BEN 0
– 1 BAY
1.42
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.74
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
Match recap
Bayer Leverkusen won 1–0 away at Benfica. At half-time it was 0–0.
On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.42 to 0.74. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 7, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 0. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 20 graded markets, 8 landed and 12 missed, for a net -3.86 units (Brier 0.253).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
20 · 8 W · 12 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| AH Away 0 |
2.63 |
— |
41% |
Cashed |
+1.63 |
Cashed
|
| Away Win |
3.57 |
— |
30% |
Cashed |
+2.57 |
Cashed
|
| Draw |
3.86 |
— |
27% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.81 |
— |
57% |
Cashed |
+0.81 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.36 |
— |
70% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.39 |
— |
42% |
Cashed |
+1.39 |
Cashed
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.22 |
— |
45% |
Cashed |
+1.22 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.77 |
— |
55% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.47 |
— |
66% |
Cashed |
+0.47 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.04 |
— |
92% |
Cashed |
+0.04 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.76 |
— |
34% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.62 |
— |
58% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Home Win |
2.13 |
— |
43% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.54 |
— |
59% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.22 |
— |
72% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home +2 |
1.01 |
— |
97% |
Cashed |
+0.01 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home +1 |
1.12 |
— |
90% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home -1 |
3.03 |
— |
24% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home -2 |
6.90 |
— |
10% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away -1 |
1.42 |
— |
18% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 20 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 12 L |
−3.86u |
−19% ROI |
