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Home › World › UEFA Champions League › Marseille — Atalanta

Predictions Marseille vs Atalanta November 5, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Marseille
Marseille
Home · last 5 L W W L L
Kick-off
Wed 05 Nov · 20:00
0:1
Full-time
Atalanta
Atalanta
L L W L L Away · last 5
Orange Vélodrome · Marseille Referee José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain
Home Win · MAR
46%
Best 2.45
Draw
27%
Best 3.40
Away Win · ATA
—%
Best 2.85
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.40
Fair odds
2.22
book 2.40 · +10.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 45% · EV +10.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (55%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 2 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 27%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 46%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 46.9%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 7 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 65%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5 Longshot value
Probability 10%
Odds 16.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5 Value pick
Probability 26%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 45%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 55%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5 Top pick
Probability 74%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 35%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 42%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 39.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 58%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 6 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 46%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 64.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 27%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home -1
Probability 24%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home -2
Probability 11%
Odds 6.60
Show model details
Implied probability 15.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away -1
Probability 14%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 70.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away -2
Probability 9%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 73%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 56%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
MAR – ATA @ 2.40
+10.0%
Edge
Forecast →