Match Olympiakos Piraeus vs PSV Eindhoven November 4, 2025 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Tue 04 Nov · 20:00
1:1
Full-time
Referee Clement Turpin, France
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 65% · book 1.56
✓
Miss
Under 0.5
Under 0.5
AI 10% · book 15.00
✗
Hit
AH Away +2
AH Away +2
AI 13% · book 10.50
✓
xG (open play)
0.92 – 0.35
Δ +0.57
AI accuracy
11 / 23
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Away Win at 2.78 — +9.0% better than the market.
Olympiakos at home can scrap for long spells, but PSV arrive on a strong run and carry more threat in transition. Expect a balanced game with goals likely; the best long prices sit on PSV protection lines and extreme unders, while safer covers lean to X2.
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Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 2.78
✗ Lost
AI 39%
Implied 36%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
OLY 4-2-3-1 · PSV 4-2-3-1
📊 Statistics
OLY 1
– 1 PSV
0.92
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.35
73%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
Match recap
Olympiakos Piraeus and PSV Eindhoven drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 86% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 0.92 to 0.35. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 10, 4 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 3.
Model audit for this match: of 23 graded markets, 11 landed and 12 missed, for a net +4.04 units (Brier 0.175).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
23 · 11 W · 12 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.56 |
— |
65% |
Cashed |
+0.56 |
Cashed
|
| Under 0.5 |
15.00 |
— |
10% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away +2 |
10.50 |
— |
13% |
Cashed |
+9.50 |
Cashed
|
| AH Away 0 |
2.02 |
— |
53% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home -1 |
4.25 |
— |
25% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.77 |
— |
38% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
2.78 |
— |
39% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.46 |
— |
43% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.23 |
— |
45% |
Cashed |
+1.23 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.76 |
— |
55% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.60 |
— |
57% |
Cashed |
+0.60 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
2.62 |
— |
35% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
3.64 |
— |
26% |
Cashed |
+2.64 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.92 |
— |
47% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.22 |
— |
78% |
Cashed |
+0.22 |
Cashed
|
| Under 1.5 |
4.33 |
— |
22% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.46 |
— |
62% |
Cashed |
+0.46 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.04 |
— |
94% |
Cashed |
+0.04 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.51 |
— |
61% |
Cashed |
+0.51 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home +1 |
1.23 |
— |
84% |
Cashed |
+0.23 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home +2 |
1.05 |
— |
93% |
Cashed |
+0.05 |
Cashed
|
| AH Away -1 |
1.25 |
— |
40% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away -2 |
1.05 |
— |
18% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 23 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
11 W · 12 L |
+4.04u |
+18% ROI |
