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Home France Ligue 1 Auxerre — Nice

Predictions Auxerre vs Nice May 10, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Auxerre
Auxerre
Home · last 5 D L W W W
Kick-off
Sun 10 May · 19:00
2:1
Full-time
Nice
Nice
D L D D W Away · last 5
Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps · Auxerre Referee François Letexier, France
Home Win · AUX
32%
Best 2.47
Draw
26%
Best 3.48
Away Win · NIC
42%
Best 3.10
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 11.00
Fair odds
9.77
book 11.00 · +12.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 10% · EV +12.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (90%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 31.7%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 42.1%
Odds 3.05
Show model details
Implied probability 32.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 26.2%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 56.6%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 43.4%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 31.4%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 23.6%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 10.2%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 76.4%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.8%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 68.6%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 51.4%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 48.7%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 42.1%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 31.7%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 68.3%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 57.9%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
AUX – NIC @ 11.00
+12.7%
Edge
Forecast →