Match Rennes vs Paris FC May 10, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.63 — +6.1% better than the market.

Rennes enter this Ligue 1 clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid attacking edge against Paris FC's defense. Their recent form shows resilience with four wins in five, while Paris FC's mixed results suggest some inconsistency. Rennes' home advantage is notable, likely allowing them to control the pace and press effectively.

Home side's offensive strength challenges away defense
Paris FC's defensive vulnerabilities may be exploited
Match tempo expected to favor Rennes' pressing style

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.63 ✗ Lost

AI 40% Implied 38% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

REN 4-3-3 · PAR 4-2-3-1

REN · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · PAR

10 Blas

Subs used · REN

66'

Embolo ↑ ·

Blas ↓

67'

Nordin ↑ ·

Szymanski ↓

76'

Seidu ↑ ·

Nagida ↓

87'

Cisse ↑ ·

Lepaul ↓

Subs used · PAR

46'

Lopez ↑ ·

Kebbal ↓

71'

Immobile ↑ ·

Geubbels ↓

76'

Camara ↑ ·

Traore ↓

77'

Ikone ↑ ·

Gory ↓

83'

Marchetti ↑ ·

Lees-Melou ↓

📊 Statistics

REN 2 – 1 PAR

51%

Possession (%)

49%

1.95

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.18

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

13 · 2 – 1

Half-time · 0 – 0

46'

⇄

M. Lopez ↓ · I. Kebbal ↑

Substitution 1

53'

⚽

W. Geubbels

0–1

B. Embolo ↓ · L. Blas ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

66'

A. Nordin ↓ · S. Szymanski ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

67'

71'

⇄

C. Immobile ↓ · W. Geubbels ↑

Substitution 2

E. Lepaul

Assist · Q. Merlin · 1–1

⚽

74'

B. Embolo

Assist · A. Nordin · 2–1

⚽

75'

A. Seidu ↓ · M. Nagida ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

76'

⇄

A. Camara ↓ · H. Traore ↑

Substitution 3

77'

⇄

J. Ikone ↓ · A. Gory ↑

Substitution 4

83'

⇄

V. Marchetti ↓ · P. Lees-Melou ↑

Substitution 5

D. Cisse ↓ · E. Lepaul ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

87'

90'

▮

C. Immobile

Yellow Card

Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Rennes beat Paris FC 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.95 to 1.18. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 2.

On the scoresheet: W. Geubbels (53'), E. Lepaul (74'), B. Embolo (75').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.33 units (Brier 0.083).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.71	1.75	62%	Cashed	+0.71	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.62	2.84	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.63	2.53	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.53	1.48	60%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.05	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.70	2.39	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.52	1.57	68%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.15	1.17	88%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.40	—	62%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.20	1.23	68%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.50	5.81	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	19.00	18.87	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	5.00	4.67	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	1.01	95%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.14	1.10	81%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Away Win	6.30	5.00	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.45	3.82	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−6.33u	−37% ROI