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Home France Ligue 1 Monaco — Lille

Predictions Monaco vs Lille May 10, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Monaco
Monaco
Home · last 5 D D W L L
Kick-off
Sun 10 May · 19:00
0:1
Full-time
Lille
Lille
D W D W L Away · last 5
Stade Louis II · Monaco Referee Clement Turpin, France
Home Win · MON
40%
Best 2.59
Draw
24%
Best 3.81
Away Win · LIL
37%
Best 2.72
Value pick
Away Win
@ 2.92
Fair odds
2.72
book 2.92 · +7.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 37% · EV +7.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (40%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 39.7%
Odds 2.41
Show model details
Implied probability 41.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 36.8%
Odds 2.92
Show model details
Implied probability 34.3%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 23.6%
Odds 3.86
Show model details
Implied probability 25.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 61.3%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 39.2%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 38.7%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 60.9%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 81.5%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.8%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.2%
Odds 16.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 18.5%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 37.8%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 62.2%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 36.8%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 39.7%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 63.3%
Odds 1.46
Show model details
Implied probability 68.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
MON – LIL @ 2.92
+7.3%
Edge
Forecast →