Match Monaco vs Lille May 10, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 2.92 — +7.3% better than the market.

Monaco hosts Lille in a tightly matched Ligue 1 clash at Stade Louis II. Despite Lille's slight quality edge, Monaco's home momentum and pressing edge could tilt the balance. Monaco's attack faces a tough Lille defense, but their recent form shows resilience. Expect a tactical battle with moderate pace, where set-piece threats and compact blocks will be key.

Monaco's home form and pressing advantage
Lille's solid defensive structure
Balanced attacking matchups suggest a close contest

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 2.92 ✓ Cashed

AI 37% Implied 34% +1.92u

+192%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MON 3-4-2-1 · LIL 4-2-3-1

MON · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · LIL

9 Balogun

Subs used · MON

58'

Faes ↑ ·

Adingra ↓

59'

Fati ↑ ·

Golovin ↓

59'

Coulibaly ↑ ·

Bamba ↓

80'

Toure ↑ ·

Kehrer ↓

80'

Biereth ↑ ·

Teze ↓

Subs used · LIL

46'

Bentaleb ↑ ·

Bouaddi ↓

62'

Mbappe ↑ ·

Mukau ↓

71'

Perrin ↑ ·

Correia ↓

90'

Verdonk ↑ ·

Haraldsson ↓

90'

Alexsandro ↑ ·

Perraud ↓

📊 Statistics

MON 0 – 1 LIL

55%

Possession (%)

45%

0.27

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.36

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 0 – 1

23'

▮

A. Bouaddi

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

46'

⇄

N. Bentaleb ↓ · A. Bouaddi ↑

Substitution 1

54'

▮

M. Fernandez-Pardo

Yellow Card

W. Faes ↓ · S. Adingra ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

58'

A. Fati ↓ · A. Golovin ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

59'

M. Coulibaly ↓ · A. Bamba ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

59'

62'

⇄

E. Mbappe ↓ · N. Mukau ↑

Substitution 2

71'

⇄

G. Perrin ↓ · F. Correia ↑

Substitution 3

72'

⚽

D. Zakaria

Own goal · 0–1

76'

▮

G. Perrin

Yellow Card

M. Coulibaly

Yellow Card

▮

79'

I. Toure ↓ · T. Kehrer ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

80'

M. Biereth ↓ · J. Teze ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

80'

90'

⇄

C. Verdonk ↓ · H. Haraldsson ↑

Substitution 4

90'

⇄

Alexsandro ↓ · R. Perraud ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Lille won 1–0 away at Monaco. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: D. Zakaria (72').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.62 units (Brier 0.288).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.64	1.55	60%	Cashed	+0.64	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.69	1.62	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.62	2.55	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.41	2.50	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.50	2.48	38%	Cashed	+1.50	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.36	2.30	39%	Cashed	+1.36	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.17	1.98	37%	Cashed	+1.17	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.80	1.92	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.92	2.62	37%	Cashed	+1.92	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.46	1.44	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.53	1.50	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.50	1.48	61%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.20	1.16	82%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	1.01	95%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Draw	3.86	3.73	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	16.00	14.93	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.50	4.61	18%	Cashed	+3.50	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+1.62u	+10% ROI