Match Auxerre vs Nantes April 11, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 2.90 — +8.2% better than the market.

Auxerre hosts Nantes in a tightly matched Ligue 1 clash where both sides show similar quality levels. Auxerre holds a slight home edge with a compact defensive setup, but Nantes' more efficient offense could test them. Recent form is balanced, suggesting a cautious tempo with limited clear-cut chances.

Auxerre's defensive solidity contrasts with Nantes' sharper attack
Both teams have struggled for consistent form recently
Expect a tactical battle with moderate scoring

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 2.90 ✓ Cashed

AI 37% Implied 34% +1.90u

+190%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

AUX 4-2-3-1 · NAN 4-1-4-1

AUX · 4-2-3-1 4-1-4-1 · NAN

10 Sinayoko

Subs used · AUX

67'

Mara ↑ ·

Namaso ↓

77'

Coulibaly ↑ ·

Oppegard ↓

77'

Ahamada ↑ ·

Faivre ↓

Subs used · NAN

73'

Sissoko ↑ ·

Coquelin ↓

74'

Centonze ↑ ·

Tabibou ↓

81'

Mohamed ↑ ·

Abline ↓

82'

Cabella ↑ ·

Guilbert ↓

📊 Statistics

AUX 0 – 0 NAN

54%

Possession (%)

46%

0.66

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.44

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

74%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

11 · 0 – 0

▮

Ignatius Ganago

Yellow Card

16'

▮

Johann Lepenant

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

S. Mara ↓ · D. Namaso ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

67'

73'

⇄

I. Sissoko ↓ · F. Coquelin ↑

Substitution 1

74'

⇄

F. Centonze ↓ · D. Tabibou ↑

Substitution 2

L. Coulibaly ↓ · F. Oppegard ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

77'

N. Ahamada ↓ · R. Faivre ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

77'

81'

⇄

Mostafa Mohamed ↓ · M. Abline ↑

Substitution 3

82'

⇄

R. Cabella ↓ · F. Guilbert ↑

Substitution 4

86'

▮

Ibrahima Sissoko

Yellow Card

89'

▮

Fabien Centonze

Yellow Card

Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Auxerre and Nantes drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.44 to 0.66. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 5, 4 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +5.09 units (Brier 0.257).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.66	—	64%	Cashed	+0.66	Cashed
BTTS No	1.80	—	58%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.82	—	57%	Cashed	+0.82	Cashed
Home Win	2.10	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.41	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.04	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.90	—	37%	Cashed	+1.90	Cashed
Away Win	4.07	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.45	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.28	—	70%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.89	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.00	—	13%	Cashed	+7.00	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.23	—	83%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.46	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.10	—	87%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.40	—	27%	Cashed	+2.40	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.70	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+5.09u	+30% ROI