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Home France Ligue 1 Toulouse — Lille

Predictions Toulouse vs Lille April 12, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Toulouse
Toulouse
Home · last 5 L L D W W
Kick-off
Sun 12 Apr · 15:15
0:4
Full-time
Lille
Lille
D W D W L Away · last 5
Stadium de Toulouse · Toulouse Referee Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj, France
Home Win · TOU
23%
Best 3.40
Draw
28%
Best 3.20
Away Win · LIL
50%
Best 2.25
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 4.10
Fair odds
3.57
book 4.10 · +14.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 28% · EV +14.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (72%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 49.6%
Odds 2.44
Show model details
Implied probability 41%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27.5%
Odds 3.34
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 22.9%
Odds 3.27
Show model details
Implied probability 30.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 49.2%
Odds 2.27
Show model details
Implied probability 44.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 73.7%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 28%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 26.3%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.6%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.4%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 47%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 49.6%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 22.9%
Odds 2.29
Show model details
Implied probability 43.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 50.4%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 77.1%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
TOU – LIL @ 4.10
+14.9%
Edge
Forecast →