Match Le Havre vs Auxerre April 5, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 0.5 at 8.50 — +10.0% better than the market.

Le Havre holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting a competitive but controlled encounter. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Auxerre's less effective offense, hinting at a tactical battle where Le Havre's compact block could limit scoring chances.

Home momentum is low but still better than Auxerre's recent form.
Le Havre's defense is likely to frustrate Auxerre's attack.
Expect a moderate pace with limited goal opportunities, favoring under 2.5 goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 0.5

Under 0.5 @ 8.50 ✗ Lost

AI 13% Implied 12% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

HAV 3-4-3 · AUX 4-2-3-1

HAV · 3-4-3 4-2-3-1 · AUX

17 Boufal

Subs used · HAV

71'

Samatta ↑ ·

Boufal ↓

77'

Kyeremeh ↑ ·

Ebonog ↓

90+4'

Pembele ↑ ·

Zouaoui ↓

Subs used · AUX

78'

Casimir ↑ ·

Oppegard ↓

90+1'

Mara ↑ ·

Namaso ↓

📊 Statistics

HAV 1 – 1 AUX

53%

Possession (%)

47%

0.50

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.70

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

11 · 1 – 1

15'

⚽

L. Sinayoko

Assist · D. Namaso · 0–1

Arouna Sangante

Yellow Card

▮

17'

S. Ebonog

Assist · I. Soumare · 1–1

⚽

23'

Half-time · 1 – 1

A. Samatta ↓ · S. Boufal ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

71'

G. Kyeremeh ↓ · S. Ebonog ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

77'

78'

⇄

J. Casimir ↓ · F. Oppegard ↑

Substitution 1

79'

▮

Danny Namaso

Yellow Card

Yanis Zouaoui

Yellow Card

▮

86'

▮

Elisha Owusu

Yellow Card

90+1'

⇄

S. Mara ↓ · D. Namaso ↑

Substitution 2

T. Pembele ↓ · Y. Zouaoui ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

90+4'

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Le Havre and Auxerre drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.70 to 0.50. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: L. Sinayoko (15'), S. Ebonog (23').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.41 units (Brier 0.156).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.69	—	64%	Cashed	+0.69	Cashed
BTTS No	1.87	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.63	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.36	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.82	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.95	—	42%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.14	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.10	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.42	—	73%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.44	—	63%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Draw	3.20	—	28%	Cashed	+2.20	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.55	—	55%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Away Win	3.10	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.50	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.24	—	83%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.10	—	87%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.40	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.41u	−20% ROI