Match Le Havre vs Lyon March 15, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.30 — +6.0% better than the market.

Lyon's clear quality edge suggests they will control the game despite Le Havre's home momentum from recent wins. Lyon's stronger attack faces a resilient but less potent Le Havre defense, hinting at a tactical battle where Lyon's pressing and creativity could unlock chances.

Le Havre's recent form shows signs of revival but still trails Lyon's consistency.
Lyon's offensive threat likely to test Le Havre's compact block.
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured buildup over frantic transitions.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.30 ✓ Cashed

AI 82% Implied 77% +0.30u

+30%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

HAV 4-1-3-2 · LYO 4-2-3-1

HAV · 4-1-3-2 4-2-3-1 · LYO

45 Soumaré

Subs used · HAV

63'

Kechta ↑ ·

Samatta ↓

68'

Zouaoui ↑ ·

K. Vinette ↓

85'

Quetant ↑ ·

Boufal ↓

Subs used · LYO

58'

Yaremchuk ↑ ·

Karabec ↓

72'

Nartey ↑ ·

Mangala ↓

80'

Ghezzal ↑ ·

Endrick ↓

80'

Hamdani ↑ ·

Hateboer ↓

80'

Kango ↑ ·

Tagliafico ↓

📊 Statistics

HAV 0 – 0 LYO

35%

Possession (%)

65%

0.74

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.10

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

13 · 0 – 0

42'

▮

Nicolás Tagliafico

Yellow Card

42'

▮

Adam Karabec

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

Stephan Zagadou

Red Card

▮

55'

58'

⇄

R. Yaremchuk ↓ · A. Karabec ↑

Substitution 1

Y. Kechta ↓ · A. Samatta ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

63'

Y. Zouaoui ↓ · E. K. Vinette ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

68'

72'

⇄

N. Nartey ↓ · O. Mangala ↑

Substitution 2

80'

⇄

R. Ghezzal ↓ · Endrick ↑

Substitution 3

80'

⇄

A. Hamdani ↓ · H. Hateboer ↑

Substitution 4

80'

⇄

S. Kango ↓ · N. Tagliafico ↑

Substitution 5

83'

▮

Tanner Tessmann

Yellow Card

K. Quetant ↓ · S. Boufal ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

85'

Mory Diaw

Yellow Card

▮

88'

Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Le Havre and Lyon drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 65% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 87% of their passes. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Stephan Zagadou was sent off in the 55' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +7.40 units (Brier 0.305).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.10	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.81	—	55%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
BTTS No	1.93	—	51%	Cashed	+0.93	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.17	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.92	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.82	—	45%	Cashed	+0.82	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.77	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.30	—	82%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.49	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.08	—	90%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.29	—	76%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.39	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.25	—	30%	Cashed	+2.25	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.80	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.50	—	26%	Cashed	+2.50	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.50	—	10%	Cashed	+8.50	Cashed
Home Win	4.00	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+7.40u	+44% ROI