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Home France Ligue 1 Auxerre — Strasbourg

Match Auxerre vs Strasbourg March 7, 2026 — Result and Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Auxerre
Auxerre
Home · last 5 D L W W W
Kick-off
Sat 07 Mar · 18:00
0:0
Full-time
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
W L D W W Away · last 5
Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps · Auxerre Referee Jeremie Pignard, France
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 53% · book 2.22
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 2.12
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 53% · book 1.89
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
0.73 – 0.74
Δ −0.01
Possession
28% – 72%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.32 — +5.8% better than the market.

Strasbourg enters this Ligue 1 clash with a clear quality edge and a slightly better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Their offensive strength contrasts with Auxerre's defensive vulnerabilities, hinting at potential scoring opportunities. However, Auxerre's home momentum and compact block could limit Strasbourg's attacking fluency.

  • Strasbourg's superior quality and attacking edge
  • Auxerre's home defensive resilience
  • Moderate pace expected from balanced goal odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.32 ✓ Cashed
AI 80% Implied 76% +0.32u
+32%
ROI on stake

Lineups

AUX 4-4-2 · STR 4-2-3-1
Subs used · AUX
77' Sy ↑ · Senaya
77' Ahamada ↑ · Casimir
Subs used · STR
46' Amo-Ameyaw ↑ · Yassine
64' Panichelli ↑ · D. Fofana
65' Nanasi ↑ · Godo
65' Barco ↑ · Chilwell
78' Oyedele ↑ · El Mourabet

📊 Statistics

AUX 00 STR
28%
Possession (%)
72%
0.73
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.74
10
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
3
Shots off Target
5
7
Shots Inside Box
8
5
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
3
10
Fouls
11
70%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
2
Yellow Cards
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

10 · 0 – 0
11'
Samir El Mourabet
Yellow Card
Gideon Mensah
Yellow Card
43'
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
S. Amo-Ameyaw ↓ · G. Yassine ↑
Substitution 1
63'
Andrew Omobamidele
Yellow Card
64'
J. Panichelli ↓ · D. D. Fofana ↑
Substitution 2
65'
S. Nanasi ↓ · M. Godo ↑
Substitution 3
65'
V. Barco ↓ · B. Chilwell ↑
Substitution 4
L. Sy ↓ · M. Senaya ↑
Substitution 1
77'
N. Ahamada ↓ · J. Casimir ↑
Substitution 2
77'
78'
M. Oyedele ↓ · S. El Mourabet ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Auxerre and Strasbourg drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 72% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 90% of their passes. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +8.93 units (Brier 0.311).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.22 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.12 49% Cashed +1.12 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.89 53% Cashed +0.89 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.06 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.80 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.74 47% Cashed +0.74 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.64 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.32 80% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.54 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.58 28% Cashed +2.58 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.33 74% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.08 91% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.33 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 10.50 9% Cashed +9.50 Cashed
Draw 3.45 27% Cashed +2.45 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.50 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.76 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +8.93u +53% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
AUX – STR @ 1.32
+5.8%
Edge
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