Match Nantes vs Lyon February 7, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.72 — +8.9% better than the market.

Lyon arrives with clear momentum, boasting a flawless recent run and a significant quality edge over Nantes. Their offensive strength contrasts sharply with Nantes’ defensive vulnerabilities, suggesting Lyon’s attack could find space against a struggling home side. Nantes’ recent form and home edge are limited, pointing to a likely Lyon control of the match tempo and chances.

Lyon’s pressing and attacking efficiency outmatch Nantes’ defense.
Nantes’ poor recent form undermines their home advantage.
Moderate pace expected, favoring Lyon’s structured buildup.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 1.72 ✓ Cashed

AI 63% Implied 58% +0.72u

+72%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

NAN 3-4-2-1 · LYO 4-3-3

NAN · 3-4-2-1 4-3-3 · LYO

31 Mohamed

Subs used · NAN

46'

El Arabi ↑ ·

Mohamed ↓

63'

Machado ↑ ·

Tabibou ↓

71'

Sylla ↑ ·

Cozza ↓

71'

Coquelin ↑ ·

Amian ↓

88'

Guirassy ↑ ·

Kaba ↓

Subs used · LYO

86'

Hateboer ↑ ·

Moreira ↓

90+4'

Merah ↑ ·

Sulc ↓

📊 Statistics

NAN 0 – 1 LYO

54%

Possession (%)

46%

0.73

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.21

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 0 – 1

▮

Endrick

Yellow Card

25'

⚽

P. Sulc

Assist · A. Moreira · 0–1

Kelvin Amian

Yellow Card

▮

37'

Half-time · 0 – 1

Y. El Arabi ↓ · Mostafa Mohamed ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

61'

▮

Endrick

Yellow Card

61'

▮

Endrick

Red Card

D. Machado ↓ · D. Tabibou ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

63'

Ali Youssef

Yellow Card

▮

66'

A. Sylla ↓ · N. Cozza ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

71'

F. Coquelin ↓ · K. Amian ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

71'

76'

▮

Dominik Greif

Yellow Card

Mohamed Kaba

Yellow Card

▮

82'

86'

⇄

H. Hateboer ↓ · A. Moreira ↑

Substitution 1

B. Guirassy ↓ · M. Kaba ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

88'

90+4'

⇄

K. Merah ↓ · P. Sulc ↑

Substitution 2

Matthis Abline

Yellow Card

▮

90+8'

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Lyon won 1–0 away at Nantes. At half-time it was 0–1.

For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: P. Sulc (25'). Endrick was sent off in the 61' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.68 units (Brier 0.153).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.72	—	63%	Cashed	+0.72	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.97	—	53%	Cashed	+0.97	Cashed
BTTS No	1.94	—	52%	Cashed	+0.94	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.97	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.91	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.26	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.80	—	28%	Cashed	+2.80	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.19	—	86%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.28	—	63%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.36	—	74%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.70	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	91%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.30	—	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.04	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.40	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	5.38	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.94	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.68u	−16% ROI