Match Stade Brestois 29 vs Auxerre January 4, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.27 — +6.3% better than the market.

Brest arrives with clear home momentum, showing stronger recent form and a notable quality edge over Auxerre. Their offensive capabilities are well-matched against Auxerre's defense, suggesting Brest can create meaningful chances. Auxerre's defensive resilience might keep the scoreline in check, but their limited attacking threat and away struggles hint at a tough outing.

Brest's home advantage and sharper form
Effective attack vs. Auxerre's defense
Lower pace expected, favoring compact play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 1.27 ✓ Cashed

AI 84% Implied 79% +0.27u

+27%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BRE 4-4-2 · AUX 4-3-3

BRE · 4-4-2 4-3-3 · AUX

19 Ajorque ⚽

Subs used · BRE

15'

Mboup ↑ ·

Balde ↓

68'

Tousart ↑ ·

Labeau Lascary ↓

86'

Locko ↑

Subs used · AUX

60'

Coulibaly ↑ ·

Matondo ↓

76'

Diousse ↑ ·

Casimir ↓

76'

Oppegard ↑ ·

Mensah ↓

76'

Rodin ↑ ·

Mara ↓

86'

Devernois ↑ ·

Danois ↓

📊 Statistics

BRE 2 – 0 AUX

50%

Possession (%)

50%

1.21

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.75

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 2 – 0

13'

▮

Gideon Mensah

Yellow Card

P. Mboup ↓ · M. Balde ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

15'

L. Ajorque

Assist · R. Labeau Lascary · 1–0

⚽

33'

Half-time · 1 – 0

60'

⇄

L. Coulibaly ↓ · R. Matondo ↑

Substitution 1

L. Tousart ↓ · R. Labeau Lascary ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

68'

Hugo Magnetti

Yellow Card

▮

70'

Romain Del Castillo

Yellow Card

▮

74'

76'

⇄

A. Diousse ↓ · J. Casimir ↑

Substitution 2

76'

⇄

F. Oppegard ↓ · G. Mensah ↑

Substitution 3

76'

⇄

R. Rodin ↓ · S. Mara ↑

Substitution 4

J. Chotard

Assist · L. Ajorque · 2–0

⚽

79'

Daouda Guindo

Yellow Card

▮

83'

B. Locko ↓ ·

Substitution 3

⇄

86'

⇄

T. Devernois ↓ · K. Danois ↑

Substitution 5

90+2'

▮

Elisha Owusu

Yellow Card

Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Stade Brestois 29 beat Auxerre 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: L. Ajorque (33'), J. Chotard (79').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.63 units (Brier 0.118).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.03	—	57%	Cashed	+1.03	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.06	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.04	—	49%	Cashed	+1.04	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.89	—	51%	Cashed	+0.89	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.83	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.92	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.27	—	84%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.40	—	57%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.08	—	92%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.34	—	74%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.55	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.32	—	72%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.55	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.50	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	10.50	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.55	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.24	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.63u	−27% ROI

Match Stade Brestois 29 vs Auxerre January 4, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.27 — +6.3% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled