Match Strasbourg vs Lorient December 14, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.78 — +10.2% better than the market.

Strasbourg holds a clear quality edge over Lorient, boosted by a strong home presence and a more potent attack against Lorient's defense. Despite recent mixed form, Strasbourg's home momentum and tactical solidity suggest they can control the pace and create chances. Lorient's recent improved form hints at resilience but their defensive vulnerabilities may be exposed.

Home attacking threat vs away defensive gaps
Strasbourg's home edge in pressing and compactness
Lorient's recent form shows signs of fight but limited firepower

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.78 ✗ Lost

AI 62% Implied 56% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

STR 3-4-2-1 · LOR 3-4-2-1

STR · 3-4-2-1 3-4-2-1 · LOR

9 Panichelli

Subs used · STR

46'

Omobamidele ↑ ·

Sarr ↓

75'

Godo ↑ ·

Nanasi ↓

75'

Paez ↑ ·

Enciso ↓

82'

Ouattara ↑ ·

El Mourabet ↓

Subs used · LOR

66'

Mvuka Mugisha ↑ ·

Le Bris ↓

66'

Bamba ↑ ·

Soumano ↓

75'

Karim ↑ ·

Pagis ↓

75'

Cadiou ↑ ·

Makengo ↓

📊 Statistics

STR 0 – 0 LOR

63%

Possession (%)

37%

0.61

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.53

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

93%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

9 · 0 – 0

Half-time · 0 – 0

A. Omobamidele ↓ · M. Sarr ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

Andrew Omobamidele

Yellow Card

▮

50'

66'

⇄

J. Mvuka Mugisha ↓ · T. Le Bris ↑

Substitution 1

66'

⇄

M. Bamba ↓ · S. Soumano ↑

Substitution 2

M. Godo ↓ · S. Nanasi ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

75'

K. Paez ↓ · J. Enciso ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

75'

⇄

D. Karim ↓ · P. Pagis ↑

Substitution 3

75'

⇄

N. Cadiou ↓ · J. Makengo ↑

Substitution 4

A. Ouattara ↓ · S. El Mourabet ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

82'

Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Strasbourg and Lorient drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 93% of their passes. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 11 to 3.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +13.44 units (Brier 0.371).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.78	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.85	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.81	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.08	—	45%	Cashed	+1.08	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.10	—	44%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.20	—	38%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.10	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.22	—	85%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.40	—	66%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.32	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.28	—	79%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	94%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.04	—	23%	Cashed	+3.04	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.10	—	21%	Cashed	+3.10	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.30	—	6%	Cashed	+12.30	Cashed
Away Win	4.88	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.58	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+13.44u	+79% ROI