Match Lyon vs Le Havre December 14, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.64 — +7.3% better than the market.

Lyon enters this Ligue 1 clash with clear home momentum, boasting a strong recent run and a significant quality edge over Le Havre. Their potent attack faces a defense that has struggled, suggesting Lyon's pressing and set-piece threat could unlock chances early. Meanwhile, Le Havre's form and defensive frailties hint at a tough night, especially given Lyon's compact block and home confidence.

Home edge in defense and attack
Lyon's recent winning form
Le Havre's defensive vulnerabilities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.64 ✓ Cashed

AI 65% Implied 61% +0.64u

+64%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LYO 4-3-3 · HAV 4-3-3

LYO · 4-3-3 4-3-3 · HAV

17 Moreira

Subs used · LYO

73'

Karabec ↑ ·

Satriano ↓

73'

de Carvalho ↑ ·

Merah ↓

85'

Kluivert ↑ ·

Hateboer ↓

89'

Ghezzal ↑ ·

Sulc ↓

Subs used · HAV

63'

Doucoure ↑ ·

Nego ↓

63'

Kyeremeh ↑ ·

Kechta ↓

78'

Obougou ↑ ·

Samatta ↓

78'

Quetant ↑ ·

Namli ↓

📊 Statistics

LYO 1 – 0 HAV

57%

Possession (%)

43%

2.34

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.44

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 1 – 0

24'

▮

Loic Négo

Yellow Card

Tyler Morton

Yellow Card

▮

37'

Half-time · 0 – 0

P. Sulc

Assist · A. Moreira · 1–0

⚽

52'

63'

⇄

F. Doucoure ↓ · L. Nego ↑

Substitution 1

63'

⇄

G. Kyeremeh ↓ · Y. Kechta ↑

Substitution 2

68'

▮

Rassoul Ndiaye

Yellow Card

71'

▮

Younes Namli

Yellow Card

71'

▮

Ayumu Seko

Yellow Card

A. Karabec ↓ · M. Satriano ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

73'

M. de Carvalho ↓ · K. Merah ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

73'

Moussa Niakhaté

Yellow Card

▮

74'

78'

⇄

N. Obougou ↓ · A. Samatta ↑

Substitution 3

78'

⇄

K. Quetant ↓ · Y. Namli ↑

Substitution 4

R. Kluivert ↓ · H. Hateboer ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

85'

R. Ghezzal ↓ · P. Sulc ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

89'

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Lyon beat Le Havre 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.34 to 1.44. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 10, 4 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: P. Sulc (52').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.11 units (Brier 0.147).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.64	—	65%	Cashed	+0.64	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.95	—	53%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
BTTS No	1.87	—	53%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.99	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.98	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.45	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.17	—	88%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.23	—	65%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.61	—	28%	Cashed	+2.61	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.35	—	74%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	—	91%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.31	—	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.16	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.45	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	6.10	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.51	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.11u	−18% ROI