Match Paris FC vs Auxerre November 29, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 4.10 — +12.3% better than the market.

Paris FC holds a clear quality edge and home momentum against struggling Auxerre. Their offensive strength faces a solid but less potent Auxerre defense, suggesting Paris FC can control the game tempo. Auxerre’s recent poor form and defensive solidity may limit goals, hinting at a cautious match.

Home advantage with a pressing edge
Paris FC’s sharper attack vs Auxerre’s defense
Low-scoring potential due to Auxerre’s compact block

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 4.10 ✗ Lost

AI 27% Implied 24% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PAR 4-4-2 · AUX 4-3-3

PAR · 4-4-2 4-3-3 · AUX

11 Krasso

Subs used · PAR

61'

Doucet ↑ ·

Gory ↓

70'

Cafaro ↑ ·

Simon ↓

79'

Ollila ↑ ·

De Smet ↓

79'

Geubbels ↑ ·

Krasso ↓

79'

Ikone ↑ ·

Camara ↓

Subs used · AUX

71'

Osman ↑ ·

Mara ↓

85'

Diousse ↑ ·

El Azzouzi ↓

85'

Casimir ↑ ·

Sinayoko ↓

📊 Statistics

PAR 1 – 1 AUX

54%

Possession (%)

46%

1.66

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.07

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

13 · 1 – 1

I. Kebbal (P)

Penalty · 1–0

⚽

32'

Otávio

Yellow Card

▮

39'

40'

⚽

S. Diomande

Assist · L. Sinayoko · 1–1

Half-time · 1 – 1

59'

▮

Danny Namaso

Yellow Card

L. Doucet ↓ · A. Gory ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

61'

M. Cafaro ↓ · M. Simon ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

70'

71'

⇄

I. Osman ↓ · S. Mara ↑

Substitution 1

T. Ollila ↓ · T. De Smet ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

79'

W. Geubbels ↓ · J. Krasso ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

79'

J. Ikone ↓ · A. Camara ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

79'

Jonathan Ikoné

Yellow Card

▮

81'

85'

⇄

A. Diousse ↓ · O. El Azzouzi ↑

Substitution 2

85'

⇄

J. Casimir ↓ · L. Sinayoko ↑

Substitution 3

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Paris FC and Auxerre drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.66 to 1.07. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: I. Kebbal (32'), S. Diomande (40').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.27 units (Brier 0.177).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.86	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.04	—	53%	Cashed	+1.04	Cashed
BTTS No	2.05	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.91	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.78	—	49%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.07	—	40%	Cashed	+1.07	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.10	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.24	—	84%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.20	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.38	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.38	—	74%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	92%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.30	—	73%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Draw	3.86	—	24%	Cashed	+2.86	Cashed
Away Win	4.57	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.36	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.27u	−13% ROI