Match Angers vs Auxerre November 9, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 2.97 — +13.8% better than the market.

Angers holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting they can control the tempo at Stade Raymond-Kopa. Their recent form shows resilience with a balanced mix of results, while Auxerre struggles for consistency and defensive solidity. Expect a tactical battle where Angers' pressing and set-piece threat could unlock a compact Auxerre defense.

Home momentum and pressing edge
Auxerre's defensive challenges
Likely cautious pace with under 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 2.97 ✗ Lost

AI 38% Implied 34% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ANG 4-2-3-1 · AUX 4-3-3

ANG · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · AUX

11 Cherif

Subs used · ANG

64'

Raolisoa ↑ ·

Belkhdim ↓

75'

Hanin ↑ ·

Ekomie ↓

75'

Courcoul ↑ ·

Mouton ↓

82'

Djibirin ↑ ·

Cherif ↓

82'

Peter ↑ ·

Sbai ↓

Subs used · AUX

46'

Casimir ↑ ·

Osman ↓

72'

Mara ↑ ·

Matondo ↓

77'

Mensah ↑ ·

Sinayoko ↓

83'

Sy ↑ ·

Senaya ↓

83'

Diousse ↑ ·

Owusu ↓

📊 Statistics

ANG 2 – 0 AUX

49%

Possession (%)

51%

0.66

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.59

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 2 – 0

▮

Elisha Owusu

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

46'

⇄

J. Casimir ↓ · I. Osman ↑

Substitution 1

Sidiki Cherif

Yellow Card

▮

61'

L. Raolisoa ↓ · Y. Belkhdim ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

64'

Amine Sbai

Yellow Card

▮

68'

70'

▮

Francisco Sierralta

Yellow Card

C. Akpa

Own goal · 1–0

⚽

71'

72'

⇄

S. Mara ↓ · R. Matondo ↑

Substitution 2

F. Hanin ↓ · J. Ekomie ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

75'

M. Courcoul ↓ · L. Mouton ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

75'

77'

⇄

G. Mensah ↓ · L. Sinayoko ↑

Substitution 3

H. Djibirin ↓ · S. Cherif ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

82'

P. Peter ↓ · A. Sbai ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

82'

83'

⇄

L. Sy ↓ · M. Senaya ↑

Substitution 4

83'

⇄

A. Diousse ↓ · E. Owusu ↑

Substitution 5

P. Peter

2–0

⚽

87'

Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Angers beat Auxerre 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: C. Akpa (71'), P. Peter (87').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.64 units (Brier 0.127).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.68	—	65%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
BTTS No	1.88	—	58%	Cashed	+0.88	Cashed
Home Win	2.69	—	46%	Cashed	+1.69	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.88	—	46%	Cashed	+0.88	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.38	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.98	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.11	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.97	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.45	—	74%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.44	—	62%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.53	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.00	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.50	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.24	—	83%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.10	—	87%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Draw	3.22	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.50	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.64u	−21% ROI