Match Rennes vs Strasbourg November 2, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.63 — +8.8% better than the market.

Rennes hosts Strasbourg in a Ligue 1 clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge and offensive advantage. Strasbourg's sharper attack meets Rennes' vulnerable defense, suggesting chances for goals. Rennes' recent home form is shaky, while Strasbourg arrives with better momentum and a pressing edge. Expect a lively pace given the odds favoring over 2.5 goals, hinting at an open game with both sides probing actively.

Strasbourg's offensive strength vs Rennes' defensive struggles
Home side's recent dip in form vs away momentum
Odds suggest a match with multiple goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.63 ✗ Lost

AI 67% Implied 61% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

REN 3-5-2 · STR 3-4-2-1

REN · 3-5-2 3-4-2-1 · STR

39 Meite ⚽

Subs used · REN

59'

Merlin ↑ ·

Tamari ↓

68'

Blas ↑ ·

Cisse ↓

68'

Embolo ↑ ·

Meite ↓

90+3'

Rosier ↑ ·

Lepaul ↓

Subs used · STR

52'

Nanasi ↑ ·

Amo-Ameyaw ↓

52'

Amougou ↑ ·

El Mourabet ↓

61'

Nzingoula ↑ ·

Ouattara ↓

83'

Paez ↑ ·

Enciso ↓

83'

Godo ↑ ·

Moreira ↓

📊 Statistics

REN 4 – 1 STR

41%

Possession (%)

59%

2.19

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.45

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 4 – 1

E. Lepaul

Assist · M. Tamari · 1–0

⚽

M. Meite

Assist · A. Ait Boudlal · 2–0

⚽

35'

Half-time · 2 – 0

E. Lepaul

Assist · M. Meite · 3–0

⚽

48'

52'

⇄

S. Nanasi ↓ · S. Amo-Ameyaw ↑

Substitution 1

52'

⇄

M. Amougou ↓ · S. El Mourabet ↑

Substitution 2

Q. Merlin ↓ · M. Tamari ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

59'

E. Lepaul

Assist · V. Rongier · 4–0

⚽

60'

61'

⇄

R. Nzingoula ↓ · A. Ouattara ↑

Substitution 3

L. Blas ↓ · D. Cisse ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

68'

B. Embolo ↓ · M. Meite ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

68'

77'

⚽

S. Nanasi

Assist · V. Barco · 4–1

83'

▮

Ben Chilwell

Yellow Card

83'

⇄

K. Paez ↓ · J. Enciso ↑

Substitution 4

83'

⇄

M. Godo ↓ · D. Moreira ↑

Substitution 5

L. Rosier ↓ · E. Lepaul ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90+3'

Przemysław Frankowski

Yellow Card

▮

90+4'

Full-time · 4 – 1

Match recap

Rennes beat Strasbourg 4–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.19 to 1.45. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 13, 2 on target. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 2.19 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: E. Lepaul (9'), M. Meite (35'), E. Lepaul (48'), E. Lepaul (60'), S. Nanasi (77').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.96 units (Brier 0.198).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.63	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.76	—	60%	Cashed	+0.76	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.75	—	39%	Cashed	+1.75	Cashed
BTTS No	2.46	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.19	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.24	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.42	—	33%	Cashed	+1.42	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.79	—	33%	Cashed	+0.79	Cashed
Away Win	2.97	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.45	—	58%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.58	—	62%	Cashed	+0.58	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.50	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.24	—	81%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	95%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.76	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.50	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.96u	−17% ROI