Match West Ham vs Nottingham Forest January 6, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.36 — +9.2% better than the market.

West Ham hosts Nottingham Forest in a clash where defensive solidity could dominate. West Ham's home edge is mild but their recent form shows struggles, while Forest's slightly better away form and defensive resilience suggest a tight contest. The match hints at a cautious pace with under 2.5 goals likely, given both sides' defensive focus and recent low-scoring trends.

West Ham’s defensive discipline vs Forest’s measured attack
Forest’s away momentum contrasts West Ham’s home struggles
Low tempo expected, favoring compact defensive blocks

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.36 ✓ Cashed

AI 80% Implied 74% +0.36u

+36%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

WES 4-2-3-1 · NOT 4-2-3-1

WES · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · NOT

11 Castellanos

Subs used · WES

63'

Pablo ↑ ·

Paqueta ↓

63'

Mayers ↑ ·

Scarles ↓

80'

Potts ↑ ·

Fernandes ↓

Subs used · NOT

46'

Bakwa ↑ ·

Hutchinson ↓

90+2'

Morato ↑

📊 Statistics

WES 1 – 2 NOT

47%

Possession (%)

53%

0.98

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.35

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

76%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

11 · 1 – 2

Murillo

Own goal · 1–0

⚽

13'

Half-time · 1 – 0

46'

⇄

D. Bakwa ↓ · O. Hutchinson ↑

Substitution 1

55'

⚽

N. Dominguez

Assist · E. Anderson · 1–1

Jean-Clair Todibo

Yellow Card

▮

61'

Pablo ↓ · Lucas Paqueta ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

63'

E. Mayers ↓ · O. Scarles ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

63'

F. Potts ↓ · M. Fernandes ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

80'

89'

⚽

M. Gibbs-White (P)

Penalty · 1–2

90+2'

⇄

Morato ↓ ·

Substitution 2

Kyle Walker-Peters

Yellow Card

▮

90+4'

Konstantinos Mavropanos

Yellow Card

▮

90+6'

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Nottingham Forest won 2–1 away at West Ham. At half-time it was 1–0.

For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Murillo (13'), N. Dominguez (55'), M. Gibbs-White (89').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.15 units (Brier 0.179).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.96	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.17	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.35	—	42%	Cashed	+1.35	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.68	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.75	—	45%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.98	—	40%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.37	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.65	—	42%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.36	—	80%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.75	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.38	—	69%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Home Win	3.29	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	87%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	3.55	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.31	—	64%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.40	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.15u	−24% ROI

Match West Ham vs Nottingham Forest January 6, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.36 — +9.2% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled