Match Genoa vs Como April 26, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.84 — +12.1% better than the market.

Serie A Clash: Genoa Host Como

Como holds a clear quality edge and offensive advantage, suggesting they can break down Genoa's sturdy defense. Genoa's home edge is moderate, offering some resilience, but Como's recent form shows a slight upward trend compared to Genoa's mixed results. Expect a tactical battle with Como pressing to exploit defensive gaps, while Genoa aims to leverage set-pieces and home momentum.

Como's stronger attack vs Genoa's defense
Genoa's home resilience but limited offensive threat
Balanced recent form with slight away momentum

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 1.84 ✓ Cashed

AI 61% Implied 54% +0.84u

+84%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GEN 3-5-2 · COM 4-2-3-1

GEN · 3-5-2 4-2-3-1 · COM

9 Vitinha

Subs used · GEN

46'

Leali ↑ ·

Bijlow ↓

57'

Messias ↑ ·

Otoa ↓

70'

Colombo ↑ ·

Ekhator ↓

70'

Malinovskyi ↑ ·

Amorim ↓

81'

Cornet ↑ ·

Sabelli ↓

Subs used · COM

46'

Caqueret ↑ ·

Paz ↓

57'

O. Kempf ↑ ·

Carlos ↓

81'

Morata ↑ ·

Douvikas ↓

81'

Van der Brempt ↑ ·

Diao ↓

90+4'

Kuhn ↑ ·

Baturina ↓

📊 Statistics

GEN 0 – 2 COM

50%

Possession (%)

50%

0.59

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.98

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 0 – 2

10'

⚽

A. Douvikas

Assist · L. Da Cunha · 0–1

37'

▮

Diego Carlos

Yellow Card

39'

▮

Assane Diao

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 1

N. Leali ↓ · J. Bijlow ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

⇄

M. Caqueret ↓ · N. Paz ↑

Substitution 1

Junior Messias ↓ · S. Otoa ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

57'

⇄

M. O. Kempf ↓ · Diego Carlos ↑

Substitution 2

68'

⚽

A. Diao

Assist · M. Caqueret · 0–2

L. Colombo ↓ · J. Ekhator ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

70'

R. Malinovskyi ↓ · Amorim ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

70'

M. Cornet ↓ · S. Sabelli ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

81'

⇄

A. Morata ↓ · A. Douvikas ↑

Substitution 3

81'

⇄

I. Van der Brempt ↓ · A. Diao ↑

Substitution 4

Junior Messias

Yellow Card

▮

90+3'

▮

Marc Kempf

Yellow Card

90+4'

⇄

N. Kuhn ↓ · M. Baturina ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Como won 2–0 away at Genoa. At half-time it was 0–1.

For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: A. Douvikas (10'), A. Diao (68').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.07 units (Brier 0.108).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.84	—	61%	Cashed	+0.84	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.08	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.87	—	52%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.93	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.91	—	50%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.12	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.24	—	85%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.35	—	61%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	—	91%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.75	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.34	—	72%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.31	—	74%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.42	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.96	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	10.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	4.75	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.49	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.07u	−30% ROI