Match Parma vs Cremonese March 21, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.26 — +6.3% better than the market.

Parma hosts Cremonese in a Serie A clash where home momentum contrasts with away struggles. Parma's recent form shows resilience with wins and draws, while Cremonese faces a tough patch. The home side's defensive solidity could stifle Cremonese's sharper attack, suggesting a tactical battle leaning towards a tight scoreline. Expect a measured pace with limited goal-scoring chances given the cautious approach from both sides.

Parma's defensive edge at home
Cremonese's recent poor form
Likely low-scoring, controlled tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.26 ✓ Cashed

AI 84% Implied 79% +0.26u

+26%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PAR 3-4-3 · CRE 4-4-2

PAR · 3-4-3 4-4-2 · CRE

17 Ondrejka

Subs used · PAR

60'

Oristanio ↑ ·

Sorensen ↓

60'

Nicolussi Caviglia ↑ ·

Circati ↓

73'

Estevez ↑ ·

Keita ↓

73'

Elphege ↑ ·

Ondrejka ↓

Subs used · CRE

46'

Barbieri ↑ ·

Zerbin ↓

67'

Payero ↑ ·

Bonazzoli ↓

67'

Vardy ↑ ·

Sanabria ↓

79'

Thorsby ↑ ·

Vandeputte ↓

89'

Folino ↑ ·

Bianchetti ↓

📊 Statistics

PAR 0 – 2 CRE

52%

Possession (%)

48%

0.34

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.72

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

17 · 0 – 2

Half-time · 0 – 0

46'

⇄

T. Barbieri ↓ · A. Zerbin ↑

Substitution 1

50'

▮

Tommaso Barbieri

Yellow Card

54'

⚽

Y. Maleh

0–1

G. Oristanio ↓ · O. Sorensen ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

60'

H. Nicolussi Caviglia ↓ · A. Circati ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

60'

Jacob Ondrejka

Yellow Card

▮

66'

67'

⇄

M. Payero ↓ · F. Bonazzoli ↑

Substitution 2

67'

⇄

J. Vardy ↓ · A. Sanabria ↑

Substitution 3

68'

⚽

J. Vandeputte

Assist · J. Vardy · 0–2

N. Estevez ↓ · M. Keita ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

73'

N. Elphege ↓ · J. Ondrejka ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

73'

79'

⇄

M. Thorsby ↓ · J. Vandeputte ↑

Substitution 4

89'

⇄

F. Folino ↓ · M. Bianchetti ↑

Substitution 5

90+1'

▮

Martín Payero

Yellow Card

Mariano Troilo

Yellow Card

▮

90+2'

Lautaro Valenti

Yellow Card

▮

90+3'

▮

Giuseppe Pezzella

Yellow Card

Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Cremonese won 2–0 away at Parma. At half-time it was 0–0.

For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Y. Maleh (54'), J. Vandeputte (68').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.39 units (Brier 0.206).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.98	—	60%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.74	—	67%	Cashed	+0.74	Cashed
Home Win	2.19	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.80	—	51%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.95	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.27	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.21	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.50	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.26	—	84%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.28	—	76%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.42	—	59%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.50	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.96	—	24%	Cashed	+1.96	Cashed
Away Win	4.35	—	24%	Cashed	+3.35	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.10	—	85%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Draw	3.30	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.20	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.39u	−2% ROI