🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 60% probability.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
This Serie A opener at Stadio Ennio Tardini hints at a cautious battle. With limited recent form data, both sides may prioritize defensive solidity early on. The odds suggest a modest tempo with a slight lean towards under 2.5 goals, indicating a compact match where set-piece opportunities could be decisive.
- Home advantage might offer Parma a pressing edge.
- Cagliari could rely on structured defense to counterattack.
- Early season dynamics favor a tight, tactical contest.
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 38% | Parma win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 60% | Under 2.5 |
| BTTS | 53% | No |
| Double Chance | 67% | 1X |
- 1X2 Parma win 38%
- Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60%
- BTTS No 53%
- Double Chance 1X 67%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Parma
W/D/L
2-0-3
Goals (for / against)
4 / 6
Avg goals / match
2.0
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
1/5
Over 2.5
1/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
xG (for / against)
0.84 / 1.95
Cagliari
W/D/L
3-1-1
Goals (for / against)
7 / 6
Avg goals / match
2.6
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
xG (for / against)
1.68 / 1.44
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Parma wins when scoring first
60%
①
Cagliari wins when scoring first
67%
⚽
Parma BTTS rate · last 10
40%
⚽
Cagliari BTTS rate · last 10
50%
↑
Parma Over 2.5 · last 10
20%
↑
Cagliari Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↩
Parma comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Cagliari comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Parma · last 10 at home
0–15
25%
16–30
0%
31–45
0%
46–60
13%
61–75
0%
76–90
63%
Cagliari · last 10 away
0–15
0%
16–30
22%
31–45
11%
46–60
33%
61–75
22%
76–90
11%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.