Match Cremonese vs Fiorentina March 16, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 2.00 — +15.0% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 2.00 ✓ Cashed

AI 57% Implied 50% +1.00u

+100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

CRE 3-5-2 · FIO 4-3-3

CRE · 3-5-2 4-3-3 · FIO

9 Đurić

Subs used · CRE

46'

Okereke ↑ ·

Thorsby ↓

46'

Grassi ↑ ·

Bondo ↓

62'

Vandeputte ↑ ·

Maleh ↓

69'

Zerbin ↑ ·

Floriani ↓

80'

Terracciano ↑ ·

Ceccherini ↓

Subs used · FIO

75'

Ndour ↑ ·

Mandragora ↓

76'

Harrison ↑ ·

Gudmundsson ↓

81'

Fazzini ↑ ·

Parisi ↓

81'

Rugani ↑ ·

Gosens ↓

88'

Fabbian ↑ ·

Ranieri ↓

📊 Statistics

CRE 1 – 4 FIO

48%

Possession (%)

52%

1.44

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.79

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 1 – 4

25'

⚽

F. Parisi

Assist · R. Mandragora · 0–1

Warren Bondo

Yellow Card

▮

27'

32'

⚽

R. Piccoli

Assist · R. Gosens · 0–2

Half-time · 0 – 2

D. Okereke ↓ · M. Thorsby ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

A. Grassi ↓ · W. Bondo ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

49'

⚽

Dodo

Assist · A. Gudmundsson · 0–3

D. Okereke

Assist · F. Ceccherini · 1–3

⚽

57'

J. Vandeputte ↓ · Y. Maleh ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

62'

A. Zerbin ↓ · R. Floriani ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

69'

70'

⚽

A. Gudmundsson

Assist · R. Piccoli · 1–4

75'

⇄

C. Ndour ↓ · R. Mandragora ↑

Substitution 1

76'

⇄

J. Harrison ↓ · A. Gudmundsson ↑

Substitution 2

F. Terracciano ↓ · F. Ceccherini ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

80'

81'

⇄

J. Fazzini ↓ · F. Parisi ↑

Substitution 3

81'

⇄

D. Rugani ↓ · R. Gosens ↑

Substitution 4

88'

⇄

G. Fabbian ↓ · L. Ranieri ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 1 – 4

Match recap

Fiorentina won 4–1 away at Cremonese. At half-time it was 0–2.

In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 4 from 1.79 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: F. Parisi (25'), R. Piccoli (32'), Dodo (49'), D. Okereke (57'), A. Gudmundsson (70').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.72 units (Brier 0.183).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.00	—	57%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.96	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.07	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.98	—	46%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.81	—	50%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.92	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.75	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.28	—	82%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.43	—	57%	Cashed	+0.43	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.80	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.35	—	75%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	91%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.31	—	71%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Draw	3.70	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.40	—	25%	Cashed	+2.40	Cashed
AH Home 0	3.00	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	4.15	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.72u	−16% ROI