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Home Italy Serie A Como — Lecce

Predictions Como vs Lecce February 28, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Como
Como
Home · last 5 W D W W W
Kick-off
Sat 28 Feb · 14:00
3:1
Full-time
Lecce
Lecce
D W L W W Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia · Como Referee F. Fourneau
Home Win · COM
73%
Best 1.37
Draw
20%
Best 4.65
Away Win · LEC
7%
Best 9.50
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.65
Fair odds
3.44
book 3.65 · +6.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 29% · EV +6.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (71%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 72.6%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 20.1%
Odds 4.86
Show model details
Implied probability 20.6%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 7.3%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 54.9%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 45.1%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 29.1%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 75.5%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 9.1%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.9%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 70.9%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 24.6%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 62.2%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 37.8%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 72.6%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 7.3%
Odds 6.60
Show model details
Implied probability 15.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 92.7%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 27.5%
Odds 3.19
Show model details
Implied probability 31.4%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
COM – LEC @ 3.65
+6.1%
Edge
Forecast →