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Home Italy Serie A AC Milan — Como

Predictions AC Milan vs Como February 18, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
AC Milan
AC Milan
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Wed 18 Feb · 19:45
1:1
Full-time
Como
Como
W D W W W Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milano Referee Maurizio Mariani, Italy
Home Win · MIL
51%
Best 2.38
Draw
27%
Best 3.10
Away Win · COM
22%
Best 3.20
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.56
Fair odds
3.14
book 3.56 · +13.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 32% · EV +13.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (68%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 51%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 26.7%
Odds 3.46
Show model details
Implied probability 28.9%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 22.4%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 53.7%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 46.3%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 31.8%
Odds 3.56
Show model details
Implied probability 28.1%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 77.1%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 68.2%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 22.9%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 56.1%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 43.9%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 51%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 22.4%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 49%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 77.6%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
MIL – COM @ 3.56
+13.4%
Edge
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