Match Sassuolo vs Torino December 21, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.38 — +7.3% better than the market.

Sassuolo Looks to Leverage Home Strength

Sassuolo holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a mild home advantage, suggesting they can control the game tempo. Their offensive edge against Torino's defense hints at effective attacking opportunities, while Torino's recent form shows some struggles. Expect Sassuolo's compact block and pressing edge to challenge Torino's resilience.

Home momentum with better recent points per game
Strong defensive shape to limit Torino's attacks
Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 1.38 ✗ Lost

AI 78% Implied 72% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SAS 4-3-3 · TOR 3-5-2

SAS · 4-3-3 3-5-2 · TOR

45 Laurienté

Subs used · SAS

63'

Moro ↑ ·

Cheddira ↓

63'

Lipani ↑ ·

Vranckx ↓

78'

Cande ↑ ·

Doig ↓

78'

Fadera ↑ ·

Volpato ↓

79'

Pierini ↑ ·

Lauriente ↓

Subs used · TOR

58'

Ilic ↑ ·

Gineitis ↓

58'

Simeone ↑ ·

Zapata ↓

85'

Ngonge ↑ ·

Adams ↓

87'

Casadei ↑ ·

Tameze ↓

88'

Biraghi ↑ ·

Asllani ↓

📊 Statistics

SAS 0 – 1 TOR

53%

Possession (%)

47%

0.42

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.55

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 0 – 1

Nemanja Matić

Yellow Card

▮

32'

Sebastian Walukiewicz

Yellow Card

▮

38'

Half-time · 0 – 0

58'

⇄

I. Ilic ↓ · G. Gineitis ↑

Substitution 1

58'

⇄

G. Simeone ↓ · D. Zapata ↑

Substitution 2

L. Moro ↓ · W. Cheddira ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

63'

L. Lipani ↓ · A. Vranckx ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

63'

66'

⚽

N. Vlasic (P)

Penalty · 0–1

72'

▮

Ivan Ilić

Yellow Card

Jay Idzes

Yellow Card

▮

76'

F. Cande ↓ · J. Doig ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

78'

A. Fadera ↓ · C. Volpato ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

78'

N. Pierini ↓ · A. Lauriente ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

79'

85'

⇄

C. Ngonge ↓ · C. Adams ↑

Substitution 3

87'

⇄

C. Casadei ↓ · A. Tameze ↑

Substitution 4

88'

⇄

C. Biraghi ↓ · K. Asllani ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Torino won 1–0 away at Sassuolo. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.55 to 0.42. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: N. Vlasic (66').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.45 units (Brier 0.265).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.45	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.94	—	52%	Cashed	+0.94	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.74	—	58%	Cashed	+0.74	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.27	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.91	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.71	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.62	—	50%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.32	—	22%	Cashed	+1.32	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.38	—	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.20	—	32%	Cashed	+2.20	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.42	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.26	—	78%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.10	—	89%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.20	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.25	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.50	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.37	—	22%	Cashed	+2.37	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.45u	−3% ROI