Match Fenerbahçe vs Lyon August 18, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.50 — +5.3% better than the market.

Fenerbahçe shows strong home momentum with recent wins, while Lyon has a mixed away form. The home side's pressing and attacking rhythm could challenge Lyon's defense, but Lyon's resilience and counter-attacking threat remain notable. Expect a balanced game with chances for both sides given the moderate pace suggested by goal markets.

Fenerbahçe's home confidence and attacking edge
Lyon's ability to absorb pressure and counter
Moderate tempo likely to produce goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 3.50 ✗ Lost

AI 30% Implied 29% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

FEN 4-2-3-1 · LYO 4-3-3

FEN · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · LYO

19 Muriqi

📊 Statistics

FEN 1 – 1 LYO

52%

Possession (%)

48%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Fenerbahçe and Lyon drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 3 to 0. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.77 units (Brier 0.160).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.80	—	56%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.80	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.12	—	46%	Cashed	+1.12	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	57%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
BTTS No	2.20	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.14	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.75	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.60	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.50	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.34	—	70%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.40	—	66%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.58	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	—	93%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.20	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.66	—	26%	Cashed	+2.66	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.22	—	77%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.00	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.77u	−16% ROI