Match Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe August 11, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.38 — +10.7% better than the market.

Sturm Graz and Fenerbahçe face off in a Champions League clash where recent form suggests a balanced contest. Both sides show signs of resilience, with Fenerbahçe holding a slight edge in consistency. The match hints at a cautious tempo, supported by odds favoring under 2.5 goals, indicating a compact defensive setup from both teams.

Home momentum from Sturm Graz's recent wins
Fenerbahçe's steady form and tactical discipline
Likely low-scoring affair with tight midfield battles

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.38 ✓ Cashed

AI 80% Implied 72% +0.38u

+38%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

STU 4-4-2 · FEN 4-2-3-1

STU · 4-4-2 4-2-3-1 · FEN

20 Jatta

📊 Statistics

STU 0 – 1 FEN

50%

Possession (%)

50%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Fenerbahçe won 1–0 away at Sturm Graz. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 11, 2 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.65 units (Brier 0.175).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.17	—	56%	Cashed	+1.17	Cashed
BTTS No	2.16	—	54%	Cashed	+1.16	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.97	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.95	—	47%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.85	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.73	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.38	—	80%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.92	—	34%	Cashed	+2.92	Cashed
Home Win	4.08	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.28	—	71%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
AH Home 0	3.05	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.45	—	47%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Draw	3.90	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	81%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.25	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.25	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.65u	−10% ROI