Match Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian July 21, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.40 — +8.2% better than the market.

With limited recent form data, this UEFA Champions League clash hints at a cautious encounter. The odds favor a tight game under 2.5 goals, suggesting both teams may prioritize defensive solidity over attacking risks. Home advantage could offer Sturm Graz a slight edge, but expect a compact midfield battle with few clear-cut chances.

Likely low tempo with measured build-up play
Defensive discipline expected from both sides
Set pieces may be key in breaking deadlock

Overall, anticipate a tactical match where patience and organization will be crucial, making goals at a premium.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.40 ✗ Lost

AI 77% Implied 71% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

STU 4-4-2 · HEA 4-3-3

STU · 4-4-2 4-3-3 · HEA

20 Jatta

📊 Statistics

STU 4 – 0 HEA

33%

Possession (%)

67%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

66%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Sturm Graz beat Heart Of Midlothian 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 80% of their passes. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 12 to 4. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.56 units (Brier 0.205).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.05	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.10	—	55%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.98	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.79	—	51%	Cashed	+0.79	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.80	—	43%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.73	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.40	—	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.00	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.10	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.00	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.22	—	76%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.15	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.40	—	51%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.88	—	23%	Cashed	+1.88	Cashed
Draw	3.65	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	82%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.22	—	67%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.56u	−21% ROI

Match Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian July 21, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.40 — +8.2% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled