Match Cremonese vs AS Roma November 23, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.68 — +8.1% better than the market.

AS Roma arrives at Stadio Giovanni Zini with a clear quality edge and strong recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite Cremonese's home momentum. Roma's offensive threat against Cremonese's defense could unlock scoring chances, while the home side's compact block and resilience may limit the visitors' efficiency.

Roma's pressing edge and superior quality
Cremonese's home resilience and tactical discipline
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 1.68 ✓ Cashed

AI 64% Implied 60% +0.68u

+68%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

CRE 3-5-2 · ROM 3-4-2-1

CRE · 3-5-2 3-4-2-1 · ROM

10 Vardy

Subs used · CRE

57'

Pezzella ↑ ·

Floriani ↓

57'

Vazquez ↑ ·

Payero ↓

70'

Grassi ↑ ·

Vandeputte ↓

80'

Folino ↑ ·

Bianchetti ↓

80'

Sanabria ↑ ·

Bonazzoli ↓

Subs used · ROM

46'

El Aynaoui ↑ ·

Ziolkowski ↓

59'

Ferguson ↑ ·

Baldanzi ↓

60'

El Shaarawy ↑ ·

Pellegrini ↓

80'

Tsimikas ↑ ·

Franca ↓

85'

Pisilli ↑ ·

Soule ↓

📊 Statistics

CRE 1 – 3 ROM

50%

Possession (%)

50%

0.87

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.94

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

18 · 1 – 3

17'

⚽

M. Soule

Assist · M. Kone · 0–1

Martín Payero

Yellow Card

▮

32'

45'

▮

Jan Ziółkowski

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 1

46'

⇄

N. El Aynaoui ↓ · J. Ziolkowski ↑

Substitution 1

G. Pezzella ↓ · R. Floriani ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

57'

F. Vazquez ↓ · M. Payero ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

57'

59'

⇄

E. Ferguson ↓ · T. Baldanzi ↑

Substitution 2

60'

⇄

S. El Shaarawy ↓ · L. Pellegrini ↑

Substitution 3

64'

⚽

E. Ferguson

Assist · N. El Aynaoui · 0–2

69'

⚽

Wesley Franca

Assist · S. El Shaarawy · 0–3

A. Grassi ↓ · J. Vandeputte ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

70'

F. Folino ↓ · M. Bianchetti ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

80'

A. Sanabria ↓ · F. Bonazzoli ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

80'

⇄

K. Tsimikas ↓ · Wesley Franca ↑

Substitution 4

Warren Bondo

Yellow Card

▮

82'

84'

▮

Neil El Aynaoui

Yellow Card

85'

⇄

N. Pisilli ↓ · M. Soule ↑

Substitution 5

F. Folino

Assist · F. Vazquez · 1–3

⚽

90'

Full-time · 1 – 3

Match recap

AS Roma won 3–1 away at Cremonese. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.94 to 0.87. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. Soule (17'), E. Ferguson (64'), Wesley Franca (69'), F. Folino (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.08 units (Brier 0.186).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.68	—	64%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.82	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.83	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.12	—	45%	Cashed	+1.12	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.15	—	43%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.36	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.40	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.17	—	88%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.24	—	64%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.30	—	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.50	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.08	—	90%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.38	—	69%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Draw	3.96	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.10	—	22%	Cashed	+3.10	Cashed
Home Win	6.00	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	4.38	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.08u	−12% ROI