P
Prognosist
P
Home Italy Serie A Hellas Verona — Parma

Predictions Hellas Verona vs Parma November 23, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
Home · last 5 D D L D L
Kick-off
Sun 23 Nov · 11:30
1:2
Full-time
Parma
Parma
W L L L W Away · last 5
Referee Luca Pairetto, Italy
Home Win · VER
50%
Best 2.25
Draw
29%
Best 2.97
Away Win · PAR
21%
Best 3.60
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 8.00
Fair odds
7.26
book 8.00 · +10.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 14% · EV +10.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (86%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 50.2%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 28.7%
Odds 3.17
Show model details
Implied probability 31.6%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 21.2%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 1.5
Probability 40.2%
Odds 2.71
Show model details
Implied probability 36.9%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 33.3%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 59.8%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 13.8%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 84.8%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 86.2%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 15.2%
Odds 5.40
Show model details
Implied probability 18.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 59.7%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 40.3%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 50.2%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 21.2%
Odds 2.49
Show model details
Implied probability 40.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 49.8%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
VER – PAR @ 8.00
+10.1%
Edge
Forecast →