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Home Italy Serie A AC Milan — AS Roma

Predictions AC Milan vs AS Roma November 2, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
AC Milan
AC Milan
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Sun 02 Nov · 19:45
1:0
Full-time
AS Roma
AS Roma
W W W W W Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milano Referee Marco Guida, Italy
Home Win · MIL
54%
Best 2.27
Draw
27%
Best 3.06
Away Win · ROM
19%
Best 3.73
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 4.50
Fair odds
4.27
book 4.50 · +5.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 23% · EV +5.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (77%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 54.3%
Odds 2.16
Show model details
Implied probability 46.3%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27.2%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 18.5%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 44.1%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 55.9%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 70%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 30%
Odds 3.10
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Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 23.4%
Odds 4.50
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Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 76.6%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.1%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 9.9%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 48.1%
Odds 2.04
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 54.3%
Odds 1.48
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Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 18.5%
Odds 2.81
Show model details
Implied probability 35.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 45.7%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 81.5%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
MIL – ROM @ 4.50
+5.4%
Edge
Forecast →